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Stakes Threshold Dynamics in Coordination Systems

G. Drescher · 2025

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Full paper will be available after peer review

Abstract

We demonstrate that coordination systems exhibit discontinuous behavioral changes at critical stakes thresholds, analogous to phase transitions in physical systems.

Key findings:

1. **Stakes Threshold Phenomenon**: Below a critical stakes level S_c, agents coordinate using heuristics and trust. Above S_c, coordination requires explicit verification and formal mechanisms.

2. **Hysteresis**: Once formal mechanisms are adopted, the threshold for returning to trust-based coordination is higher than S_c (typically ~10x).

3. **Domain Variation**: S_c varies by domain: - Personal relationships: low S_c - Business transactions: medium S_c - Legal/financial: high S_c - Life safety: very high S_c

4. **Implications for Design**: Coordination mechanisms must match the stakes regime. Using high-stakes mechanisms for low-stakes coordination wastes resources; using low-stakes mechanisms for high-stakes coordination invites failure.

This explains why organizations often "over-formalize" after a single high-stakes failure, and why startups can move faster than enterprises.

Keywords

stakesthreshold dynamicsphase transitionstrustverification

Theoretical Foundations

Citation

G. Drescher (2025). Stakes Threshold Dynamics in Coordination Systems. Working paper.