← Home

Predictions

64 falsifiable predictions. 23 tested. 4 challenged.

Challenged predictions are shown first. If the framework is wrong, we want to know.

Challenged (4)

P-017 challenged

Organizational coordination capacity scales as O(n log n) with team size

Observable: Team throughput vs size across 50+ organizations

Result: Empirical data suggests O(n√n) in some contexts. Under investigation.

P-023 challenged

Byzantine fault tolerance requires ≥3f+1 nodes for f failures in all coordination substrates

Observable: Minimum viable coordination unit size across biological and social systems

Result: Biological systems show 2f+1 sufficiency in some immune responses. Boundary conditions being refined.

P-041 challenged

Coupling operator (O4) always increases coordination overhead

Observable: Overhead measurement in tightly vs loosely coupled systems

Result: Certain resonance conditions show overhead reduction. Dark operator interaction suspected.

P-058 challenged

Memory operator (O2) decay follows exponential distribution universally

Observable: Decay curves in organizational, biological, computational memory

Result: Power-law decay observed in some organizational contexts. Model revision in progress.

Supported (3 of 19)

P-001 supported

CAP theorem constraints appear in organizational decision-making under partition

Result: N=147 teams showed predicted tradeoff structure. p<0.001

P-003 supported

Attractor basins deepen with repeated coordination success

Result: Recovery time decreases logarithmically with successful coordination events.

P-007 supported

Boundary operator failure precedes cascade failures

Result: O3 degradation detected 2-6 months before cascade in 8/9 cases studied.

+ 16 more supported predictions

Untested (2 of 41)

P-012 untested

Interface operator (O7) exhibits quantum-like superposition in pre-decision states

P-019 untested

Compression operator has minimum viable dimensionality of 7±2 in human coordination

+ 39 more untested predictions